Who CLINCHES
First?
The numbers know. The grid doesn't. Track every scenario, every swing, every lap that matters.
Lando's got a comfy cushion in the lead, Oscar's fighting to stay in touch, and Max needs a miracle. The grid's alive — and the stats are twitching.
Who's got the edge?
Pick your contender. See where the math turns brutal, and how they could clinch a win.
Lando Norris
McLaren
Oscar Piastri
McLaren
Max Verstappen
Red Bull Racing
Lando Norris
McLarenCan clinch the championship at Qatar Grand Prix even if rivals achieve their best possible results. With winning every race and rivals finishing P2/P3, the title can be secured with 22 points advantage.
Championship Path
Calculation assumes winning all remaining races (25pts per Grand Prix, 8pts pr Sprint Race. Clinch point determined when total becomes unreachable by rivals.
How it works
Formula 1 awards points to the top 10 finishers of every Grand Prix, with the winner receiving 25 points (down to 1 point for 10th place). There are 24 races in the 2025 season. Each race worth 25 points, plus 1 for fastest lap, totaling 26 points per race.
The Drivers' Championship is won by the driver who accumulates the most points across all 24 races (maximum possible: 624 points total) calculated before the final race. This happens when their maximum possible points exceed what any rival theoretically achieve, even if that rival won every remaining race.
When we find a championship clinch scenario, we calculate which race it could occur if the driver wins every remaining race based on the current points gap and remaining opportunities. If key contenders finish consistently low (ex: P2-P5), fewer races would be needed to clinch.